Peak Oil - A crisis facing the entire planet

Let us have a look at some of the alternative energy sources that have been mooted, dabbled with, researched, piloted or are actually already in use.

The most talked about alternative and one which is being rolled out across the British countryside.

Proponents of wind turbines claim that wind represents a free, unlimited source of energy. It does have its attractions.

It's clean. Wind power does not produce dangerous waste, nor does it contribute to global warming because it generates no carbon dioxide.
It's abundant and reliable. The UK is the windiest country in Europe and the resource is much greater during the colder months of the year, when energy demand is at its highest. Technology is being developed to store wind power as hydrogen which can then be used to power fuel cells in power stations and in vehicles.
It's affordable. The first offshore wind turbines in the UK are producing power more cheaply than our newest nuclear power station.
It works. Denmark already gets 20% of its electricity from wind power. A turbine can turn when wind speeds are just 9mph.
It creates jobs. The wind industry could bring thousands of new jobs to the UK, many of them using offshore engineering skills used by the declining oil and gas industry. If offshore wind were developed to supply just 10% of the UK's electricity, then 36,000 jobs could be created.
It's safe. Unlike nuclear power stations, wind turbines are unlikely terrorist targets. The rotors are automatically shut down when wind speeds reach in excess of about 60mph.

Opposition to wind turbines on Britain's hills and coastlines on the basis of "spoiling the view" is subjective. What some might see as brutish industrialisation of the hilltops, others see elegant, graceful and powerful monuments to Man's ingenuity and harnessing of nature's bountiful gifts. A study by the RSPB also debunked the myth that wind turbines kill large numbers of birds. The available evidence suggests that appropriately positioned wind farms do not pose a significant hazard for birds. However, evidence from the US and Spain confirms that poorly sited wind farms can cause severe problems for birds, through disturbance, habitat loss/damage or collision with turbines.

Wind and likewise solar energy suffer from four fundamental physical issues which prevent them from ever being able to replace more than a tiny fraction of the energy we get from oil. These issues are:

a. lack of energy density,
b. inappropriateness as transportation fuels,
c. energy intermittency,
d. inability to scale.

Density refers to the amount of energy per unit of volume of an energy source. Oil is a very, very dense energy source. Coal is quite dense per unit of energy, but much more bulky than oil. Unfortunately, solar power has very low relative energy density. Density, is often, but not always, associated with the energy profit ratio, the ratio between how much energy you get for how much you expend to get it. Generally, speaking, the higher the density, the higher the energy profit ratio. Oil energy profit ratios were well over a 100 to 1 in the early days of the oil age, that is 100 units of energy gained for every unit expended to get it. Oil has slipped to about 20 to 1 for most old discoveries now and to around 8 to 1 for new discoveries which are getting harder and harder to extract and are of lower quality (i.e., lower energy density). Compare this to 4 for nuclear power, 2.5 for biodiesel, 2 or more for wind, and slightly more than 1 for solar. Oil and coal (about 10 to 1) continue to be favoured because of this ratio.

To put this into perspective, the Rye House power station at Hoddesdon, Hertfordshire, generates 715 MW of electricity from natural gas coming in from the North Sea. Built in the early 1990s it is a very efficient producer of electricity. Output from the station is enough to meet the daily power needs of nearly a million people - almost the population of Hertfordshire. To produce the same amount can you guess how many wind turbines might be needed. 50? 100? 1000? Based on a typical turbine output of 0.70MW the actual answer is 1020! According to Scottish Power the Black Law turbine farm in South Lanarkshire will be the biggest onshore project in the UK. It will contain 62 individual turbines and cover an area of 24.5 square kilometres. Our theoretical 1020 turbine farm would need an area of 403 square kilometres or roughly an area 11 miles by 11 miles - 25% of the land area of the entire county of Hertfordshire!

Over ninety percent of our transportation fuel comes from petroleum fuels (gasoline, diesel, jet-fuel).

Unfortunately, solar and wind cannot be used as industrial-scale transportation fuels unless they are used to crack hydrogen from water via electrolysis. The electrolysis process is a simple one, but unfortunately it consumes 1.3 units of energy for every 1 unit of energy it produces . In other words, it results in a net loss of energy. You can't replace oil - which has a positive EROEI of about 30/1 - with an energy source that actually carries a negative EROEI.

Assuming away this not-so-minor problem, where are we going to get the energy, capital, and time necessary to replace a significant portion of the following:

1. 700 million oil-powered cars traversing the world's roads;

2. Millions of oil-powered airplanes crisscrossing the world's
skies;

3. Millions of oil-powered boats circumnavigating the world's
oceans?

On top of that, we need to completely overhaul/retrofit the multi-trillion dollar infrastructure responsible for the fuelling and maintenance of numbers one through three.

Unlike oil and gas, which can be used at anytime of the day or night, solar and wind are dependent on weather conditions. This may not be that big of a deal if you simply want to power your household appliances or a small scale, decentralized economy, but if you want to run an industrial economy that relies on airports, airplanes, millions of miles of highways, huge skyscrapers, 24/7 availability of fuel, etc., an intermittent source of energy will not suffice.

The energy produced from solar, wind, and other green alternatives can be stored in batteries, but battery technology is woefully inadequate for the scale of our problem.

The problems of using a low density energy source such as wind was demonstrated above. Not even the most enthusiastic wind turbine proponent claims that all of the UK's electricity requirements will be satisfied by wind, but by way of illustration, we showed above that the electricity requirements of 1million households and businesses in Hertfordshire could be met by turbines covering a 11 by 11 mile plot. What of the UK's 60 million residents? What size farm would we need? A 24,180 square kilometre plot equivalent to the combined size of Cumbria, Northumbria, Co Durham and North Yorkshire!

Great for powering the electricity requirements of caravans, isolated homes and small communities but its low energy density makes it impossible to provide anything other than a tiny fraction of the UK's generating capacity.